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In a changing world, those with a clear vision and the ability to weather the storm prevail. In this section, you will find materials on strategic management, risk assessment, business continuity, and building resilient teams and organizations.

Stefan Zweig wrote in The World of Yesterday that nobody in Vienna noticed the old order dying. Trams still ran, cafés still poured coffee, and the clerks went home at five. The rot, he said, doesn’t announce itself. It arrives as a series of small administrative facts. I thought of Zweig this morning, going through the last twenty-four hours in Poland and around it. Taken one by one, the items look like routine business. Put side by side, they say something less comfortable.

In Hemingway’s The Sun Also Rises, a man is asked how he went bankrupt. “Two ways,” he says. “Gradually, then suddenly.” People have been quoting that line for a century because it describes how most real catastrophes behave. The warning signs are there for years, and nobody reads them until the floor goes.